Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.208742 0.242805 0.282749 0.333589 0.397366 0.475810 5.813239e-01
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.172178 0.219050 0.281334 0.372797 0.508541 0.711302 1.056166e+00
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.143430 0.194660 0.269369 0.392216 0.602532 0.978595 1.794371e+00
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.121268 0.172591 0.252861 0.397189 0.675710 1.261905 2.889739e+00
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.103749 0.153004 0.234261 0.391071 0.725367 1.538992 4.430192e+00
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.093586 0.142714 0.228006 0.404518 0.821643 2.014134 7.791220e+00
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.082703 0.129118 0.212679 0.394690 0.859949 2.376173 1.218194e+01
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.075771 0.121152 0.205958 0.400903 0.943838 3.004277 2.270823e+01
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.068972 0.112350 0.195828 0.396224 0.995705 3.600567 4.135401e+01
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.064524 0.107232 0.192087 0.405847 1.100107 4.663311 1.028155e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.061175 0.103706 0.190962 0.421904 1.240607 6.331737 4.069232e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.057570 0.099191 0.186864 0.428759 1.354397 8.259428 2.950778e+03
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054554 0.095575 0.184385 0.440440 1.505920 11.389867 4.188616e+09
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.051718 0.092004 0.181459 0.450296 1.664564 15.919875 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.049009 0.088381 0.177823 0.457036 1.820238 22.335082 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.046211 0.084263 0.172329 0.456052 1.936776 30.154785 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.043303 0.079614 0.164828 0.446004 1.991613 38.032663 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.041735 0.077754 0.164214 0.460932 2.241978 63.390705 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.039247 0.073598 0.156978 0.448823 2.282090 81.276368 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.037697 0.071431 0.154790 0.456030 2.497061 137.969757 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.035832 0.068374 0.149768 0.450411 2.599036 206.354430 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.034673 0.066855 0.148823 0.461806 2.893174 458.667214 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.033811 0.065958 0.149517 0.480887 3.323136 1661.570313 NaN